UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak and his Conservative Party are projected to face a humiliating defeat in the upcoming preliminary elections. Most surveys predict a significant loss for the Conservative Party ahead of the July 4th vote.
A survey by The Economist forecasts that Sunak's party could secure a maximum of 117 seats, while The Guardian's survey suggests the Conservatives might be limited to just 53 seats. This is a stark contrast to the 365 seats the party won in the 2019 election.
In the 650-seat parliament, Keir Starmer's Labour Party is expected to win a minimum of 425 and a maximum of 516 seats. On average, across seven surveys, Sunak’s party is projected to win 95 seats, while Starmer’s Labour Party could secure 453 seats.
Questions have been raised about the rationale behind holding an early election when the Conservatives are trailing Labour by 20 points in popularity. According to the survey by Savanta, Prime Minister Sunak himself is at risk of losing his Richmond (Yorkshire) seat.
Former minister Lord Goldsmith has alleged that Sunak plans to move to the United States in the event of a defeat, a claim that both the Conservative Party and Prime Minister Sunak have denied.
This election could potentially bring significant changes to the British political landscape.
